The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to draw even with the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 of their best-of-seven 2025 NBA Western Conference finals series on Monday. Minnesota walloped Oklahoma City 143-101 on Saturday OKC suffered its biggest loss of the regular or postseason. The Thunder (68-14), who are looking to earn a spot in the NBA finals for the first time since 2011-12, are 10-4 in the 2025 NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves (49-33), who have yet to reach the NBA finals, are 9-4 in the postseason in 2025.

Tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The teams split four regular-season meetings this year. The Thunder are 3-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 219, after opening at 217.5. Before making any Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's Matt Severance, who is SportsLine's No. 1 expert and is on a huge 162-91 roll on his NBA picks that has returned nearly 32 units. 

Now, Severance has analyzed Thunder vs. Timberwolves and just revealed his coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Thunder. New users can utilize a DraftKings promo code, a FanDuel promo code or a BetMGM promo code to get started. 

Why the Thunder can cover

After an off night on Saturday, Oklahoma City looks to get back on track, led by point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the league MVP. He was dominant in the first two games of the series. In Thursday's Game 2 victory, he scored 38 points, dished out eight assists, hauled down three rebounds and added three steals. He had a near double-double in the series opener, scoring 31 points, while adding nine assists, five rebounds and three steals.

Forward Jalen Williams is another key component to the Thunder's offense. In Game 2 of the series, he recorded a double-double with 26 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. In Game 1, he poured in 19 points, while grabbing eight rebounds, five assists and five steals. In 14 postseason starts, he is averaging 19.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, 5.4 assists and 1.6 steals in 34.4 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Shooting guard Anthony Edwards continues to dominate. In 13 postseason games, all starts, he is averaging a near double-double with 26.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, 5.7 assists and 1.3 steals in 38.8 minutes. In Saturday's monster performance, he scored 30 points, grabbed nine rebounds, dished out six assists and had two steals in 30 minutes of play. He scored 32 points and added nine rebounds, six assists and one block in Game 2.

Power forward Julius Randle is one of seven Timberwolves averaging at least 7.8 points per game this postseason. In 13 starts, he is averaging 22.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists in 36.5 minutes. He poured in 24 points with four rebounds and three assists in Game 3. In Game 1, he scored 28 points, while adding eight rebounds. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks

Now, Severance has locked in another confident against-the-spread pick for Timberwolves vs. Thunder. He is leaning Under on the total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. You absolutely need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.  

So who wins Thunder vs. Timberwolves, and what X-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Timberwolves spread to jump on, all from the expert who us up nearly 32 units on his NBA picks, and find out.